Led by Francis Galton Simulacrum
Linear and logistic regression from first principles — OLS, the dummy variable trap, five assumptions, and communicating results. Led by the man who invented regression.
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Led by Francis Galton Simulacrum
The question
OLS minimises the sum of squared residuals — but why squared, not absolute? What does R-squared actually measure, and how do you read a regression table?
Outcome
The student can fit and interpret a simple linear regression.
Sub-units
Led by Francis Galton Simulacrum
The question
The dummy variable trap: encode three countries as 0, 1, 2 and you have implied an ordering. Encode as three dummies and you have perfect multicollinearity. Which column do you drop and why?
Outcome
The student can fit multiple regression, apply backward elimination, and check assumptions.
Sub-units
Led by Francis Galton Simulacrum
The question
The logistic function maps any linear combination to a probability between 0 and 1. Coefficients are estimated by maximum likelihood, not OLS. What does an odds ratio tell you that a coefficient does not?
Outcome
The student can fit logistic regression, compute a confusion matrix, and interpret odds ratios.
Sub-units
Led by Francis Galton Simulacrum
The question
Violating OLS assumptions does not crash the model — it makes the inferences wrong in invisible ways. Five assumptions, five diagnostics, five remedies. Which violation is most dangerous?
Outcome
The student can check all five OLS assumptions and apply remedies for violations.
Sub-units
Led by Francis Galton Simulacrum
The question
A regression table with forty predictors tells a manager nothing. A clear statement of the central finding, qualified by what the model cannot say, tells them something. How do you write a regression analysis that drives a decision?
Outcome
The student can execute the full applied regression cycle and communicate findings to a non-technical audience.
Sub-units